1. Make a “value-based” pros & cons list

Imagine that you’re considering a move. Will you relocate to another city? Pull out a piece of paper and write a classic pros and cons list for the move. Now, here’s where science has added a helpful twist. Assign every list entry a number from 0 to 1, based on your personal values. For example, if being closer to your family is a “pro” that’s extremely high on your list, you might score it at 0.9 or 0.95. If you listed “near the mountains” as another pro, but you’re more of a culture hound than an alpine hiker, then it might only rate 0.2 or 0.3. Do the same for the “con” side. Leaving a job you love could score 0.8, for example, if your career is an essential part of your life. Add up each side, multiply by 100, and see whether the pro or con side wins out. You can also make a separate pro and con list for staying where you are. Compare the final values and see how you feel about the outcome. Often, confronting a “logical” number (which was actually weighted with emotions) can illuminate subconscious feelings. If you see the numbers but still feel pulled in the opposite direction, it’s worth doing some deeper exploration. You can also use this technique for smaller, less personal decisions, like which project or feature to tackle next.

2. Explore future scenarios

Considering the best- and worst-case scenarios is a common way to make tough choices. What’s the very best future you can imagine? The worst? And how would you feel if that disastrous scenario became reality? To expand on this technique, psychologist Gary Klein has studied a twist he calls the “premortem.” In a Harvard Business Review story, Klein explains why a premortem is the hypothetical opposite of a postmortem.

       “A postmortem in a medical setting allows health professionals and the family to learn what caused a patient’s death. Everyone benefits except, of course, the patient. A premortem in a business setting comes at the beginning of a project rather than the end, so that the project can be improved rather than autopsied.”

       Imagine that your decision was terrible. The project you chose to tackle was a crash-and-burn disaster. Now, explore every possible reason for the failure. Once you address this worst-case scenario, you can take steps to prevent it — and make a better decision in the first place. In fact, research shows that premortems (which are also called prospective hindsight) can increase our ability to identify future outcome causes by 30%. On the flip side, try to visualize that epic, best-case future scenario and gauge how you feel. If you’re not happy or excited, it’s worth considering why. Amazon uses a variation of both these techniques. Company developers must draft a hypothetical press release and FAQ announcement before they even write any code. By working backwards, the team tackles the most difficult decisions upfront and clarifies the product’s value proposition.

3. Avoid binary choices

We often get stuck choosing between this or that. Should I go back to school or start a business? Should I move to Seattle or stay in Denver? It’s easy to see the world in black-and-white, but there’s typically a grey option in the middle — or several shades of grey. Maybe you could spend summers in Seattle and winters in Denver. Or, you could live in Denver for another couple years and move to Seattle later. Sometimes the right choice is not one of two opposites. It’s a more creative, nuanced, or flexible solution.

4. Consult with others

Sharing your dilemma with others can justify or reinforce a choice, but more importantly, it’s a valuable way to gather valuable information. If you can’t decide whether to move, for example, don’t just survey your friends and family (who will also have skin in your game); talk to someone who made the same move. Ask how they feel now about their decision. For professional or business decisions, try hiring a consultant. Find people who have deep, niche expertise and learn as much from them as you can. The extra information you gather will almost inevitably help you make better choices in the future.

5. Avoid hidden decisions

For nearly 6,000 years, North America’s First Nations hunted the plains buffalo by chasing them over cliffs and finishing the kill below. This method enabled tribes to gather and store large quantities of meat, hide and fat for the long winter ahead. I always wondered why so many bison would just run over the cliff. They were usually pursued by hunters on horseback, for one, but it’s also an example of herd behavior. All the animals are just following the group, letting the flow take them where it will. Buffalo jumps are a good metaphor for hidden decisions or non-decisions, which we’ve all experienced at times. When you procrastinate or delay an important choice, you’re still making a decision — and it’s rarely a good one. For example, maybe you need to part ways with an employee, but you put it off to avoid a potential confrontation. If the employee is negative, unpleasant, or ill-suited to their role, the choice to wait and delay can poison the whole team. Non-decision is a choice with real consequences.

Those 35,000 daily choices can be daunting, but quick action is the enemy of decision fatigue. Choose fast and whenever possible, tackle your choices head-on. Use as many methods as you need to pick the best solution. Just don’t follow the herd. Choose what’s best for you — and then stand firm in your decisions.

One final note: if you’ve started a business or launched a product and you’re feeling overwhelmed by all the decisions, please know that it does get easier. Additionally, Five23 can help you analyze your chooses. Our packages can help any stage startup reach its full potential and take the guesswork out of the process. Once your business is stable, many of the big, foundational choices are done and you will reach equilibrium. Then it’s time to focus on the constraints. Determine where you can make the most important, impactful decisions, and use them to grow or refine your business. Remember: decision-making gets easier with practice, and a new choice is always just seconds away.

The post 5 Techniques that Help Entrepreneurs Make Hard Decisions first appeared on Five23.

Confidence

noun | con·fi·dence \ˈkän-fə-dən(t)s, -ˌden(t)s\
“The feeling or belief that one can have faith in or rely on someone or something.”

Creating financial projections can be a difficult task if an entrepreneur does not take into consideration all the contributing factors. Besides historical financial data, an entrepreneur must be account for:

Direct Market Size: The market the company can capture in ‘x’ amount of years.
Marketing Materials: An estimate of the cost marketing the product and company will cost.
Taxes: An assumption of the cost of taxes in the jurisdiction of the company.
Amortization: Payments on a debt overtime. In many cases this is in relation to a loan at initial stages of the company.
Employee Cost: The cost of hiring workers, not forgetting insurance and pension cost if applicable.
Administrative Cost: Operation overhead; office space, insurance, internet, etc.
Attorney Fees: An attorney to act on behalf of the company in an event of litigation.
Growth Rate of Competitors: Considering this rate will allow the company to make predictions based on realistic data.

When all of these items are accounted for in the financial projections, an entrepreneur should be able to enter a pitch meeting with confidence, having a better understanding of the market and over cost; allowing more accurate and realistic financials projections. This realism of financials speaks to investors; it shows the entrepreneur understands what they are worth and to invest in them.

The post The Most Important Thing in a Pitch Meeting first appeared on Five23.